
Blog posts tagged by tag: Economic Growth (GDP)
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Predictions for the global economy in 2019 from 13 experts
With the new year just underway, we polled 13 economic experts for their predictions for the global economy in 2019. Before diving into that, our latest economic outlook for the global economy has growth coming in at 3.1% in 2019, which is below the 3.3% increase projected for 2018. Global economic growth is seen coming in at 2.9% in 2020.
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2018's Growing and Shrinking Economies
With the first quarter of 2018 in the books, the global economy appears to be running fairly smoothly despite a good deal of domestic and geopolitical uncertainty in various regions across the globe. In fact, the global economy is going so well, FocusEconomics panelists expect the global economy to grow 3.4% in 2018, which would represent the strongest rate in seven years. With that said, in this post we highlight some of the economies that are growing (and shrinking) in 2018.
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The Poorest Countries in the World
GDP per capita is considered an important method to compare how poor or wealthy countries are in relation to each other. We decided to make an update to one of our most popular blog posts and take a look at our forecasts for GDP per capita in 2025 for the 130+ countries we cover to see which are projected to be the five poorest countries in the world at the end of our forecast horizon. The projections used in this article are Consensus Forecasts based on the individual forecasts of over 1000 world renowned investment banks, economic think tanks and professional economic forecasting firms.
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The Latest on China and What's in Store for 2018
China has been one of the fastest growing economies over the last few decades and is now the second largest economy in the world, just behind the United States. However, after years of astronomical economic growth, the economy is currently in the middle of a “managed” slow down, due in large part to Chinese authorities’ desire to avoid the economy overheating. So what is going on in China currently and what is in store for 2018? Head of Economic Research Ricard Torné reports.
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Risks and Opportunities for 2018 - Daniel Lacalle
Daniel Lacalle, PhD, author of Escape from the Central Bank Trap, contributes a guest post to the FocusEconomics Insights blog. In this post, Daniel tells us what his predictions are for the global economy in 2018.
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The World's Top 5 Largest Economies in 2024
We are currently witnessing the changing of the economic guard, with emerging-market economies—particularly in Asia—making huge development strides and the hegemony of the West looking ever shakier. The Covid-19 crisis has seemingly accelerated this change: China was one of the few major economies to record growth last year for instance, while the U.S. and Europe were mired in deep recessions. The next several years should see a continuation of recent trends, with China and India further closing the economic gap with developed economies.
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The Icelandic economy and Game of Thrones: Just what the maester ordered
Iceland is known for its natural picturesque beauty, active volcanos, the northern lights and of course its friendly people. In fact, the country was recently named the friendliest country in the world by the World Economic Forum. However, the one black spot on the country’s nearly spotless record was the 2008 Icelandic banking crisis that left the country’s economy on the verge of complete collapse.
In 2008, all three of Iceland’s major privately owned commercial banks failed and the country’s stock market lost 80% of its value overnight. Brought on by the deregulation of banks in 2001, years of asset inflation and bad loans resulted in a national debt 10 times that of its GDP. The banks eventually defaulted resulting in the largest single banking collapse in world history.
With the economy teetering on the edge after the disaster, the government took emergency measures to get the economy back on its feet and stabilize the Icelandic krona. Nearly 10 years later Iceland has been called a European success story as its economy is now looking like a world beater. The country is on track to be the fastest growing economy among OECD member countries in 2017. And a lot of this is down to the recent boom in tourism and specifically, the hit HBO TV series, Game of Thrones.
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Spain: The economy that continues to silence the critics
One of the original PIGS, the Spanish economy continues to silence its critics, growing quarter after quarter. And in what is starting to become familiar territory for the Southern European country, the economy started 2017 off with a bang, dispelling fears of an abrupt slowdown in economic activity that some had expected due to the fading of several tailwinds.
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23 economic experts weigh in: Why is productivity growth so low?
Productivity is considered by some to be the most important area of economics and yet one of the least understood. Its simplest definition is output per hour worked, however, productivity in the real world is not that simple. Productivity is a major factor in an economy’s ability to grow and therefore is the greatest determinant of the standard of living for a given person or group of people. It is the reason why a worker today makes much more than a century ago, because each hour of work produces more output of goods and services.
According to Ian Stewart, Deloitte’s Chief Economist, “It is hard to overstate the importance of productivity in driving improvements in living standards. Since 1850, UK GDP per head has risen 20-fold, transforming our standards of living. If productivity had remained flat over that period, GDP per head would only have doubled.”
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Global growth to edge up in 2017
Global growth is likely to strengthen this year but uncertainty over geopolitical issues across the globe, elections in various European countries, Brexit negotiations and Donald Trump as President of the United States, pose risks to growth. Have a look at what is expected for the developed economies & the emerging markets in 2017.
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Will Italy be the first target of the ECB’s new anti-fragmentation tool, the TPI?
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What does the U.S.-China tussle over Taiwan mean for the global economy?
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Why does Latin America have a growth problem?
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Why is OPEC struggling to raise oil output?
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Fed hikes rates: How high will rates go in 2022?
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Why is Eastern Europe’s economic outlook improving?
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Why is inflation so low in Japan?
Featured Posts
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Will Italy be the first target of the ECB’s new anti-fragmentation tool, the TPI?
-
What does the U.S.-China tussle over Taiwan mean for the global economy?
-
Why does Latin America have a growth problem?
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Why is OPEC struggling to raise oil output?
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Fed hikes rates: How high will rates go in 2022?
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The Euro area’s labor market: A bright spot on a gloomy horizon
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Are we heading for an emerging market debt crisis?
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MENA's regional growth is set to pick up pace this year. In oil exporting countries, higher OPEC+ quotas on average… https://t.co/mCrWgrB7br
5 hours ago
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Our panel of analysts again revised their Q4 2022 energy price forecasts slightly downward this month due to dimini… https://t.co/J5LtQPblIo
3 days ago
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The announcement of a new policy tool, the TPI, accompanied the ECB’s hawkish turn in July. Our newest insight piec… https://t.co/XNEQfxf3PZ
6 days ago
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The Euro Area economy expanded at a faster pace in Q2. The economy grew 0.6% in seasonally-adjusted quarter-on quar… https://t.co/mke3sYue6l
1 week ago
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Inflation in G7 economies will increase this year on higher commodity prices. That said, inflation will ease notabl… https://t.co/cC4Px5Trbx
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